Open Source Adoption

I will write a technically oriented entry eventually, but right now there are some business issues I still want to explore!

Because most open source proponents are developers themselves, they tend to cast the adoption problem in terms of technical features. The theory goes: “once a product achieves a particular feature level, it will be rapidly adopted, because it is better”. This view has a couple of problems, in that:

Switching costs are almost insurmountable, regardless of the technology, and regardless of whether the alternative is proprietary or open source. Generally speaking, once a piece of technology is deployed, it is not going anywhere, until it hits end of life. Exceptions abound, of course, but it is a good rule of thumb.

Looking at the open source deployment success stories, most back up this theory: Linux and Apache grew like crazy in green fields, they were rarely replacing existing systems, they were filling in gaps and providing new capability. Again, exceptions abound, but keep your eye on the larger picture.

Feature completeness is a different beast, and it is where open source has a hard time competing with proprietary. Once an organization has gotten over the switching hump, for whatever reason, they have to decide what to switch to. They tot up the lists of features they “need”, and then put out a request to vendors to propose products that meet their list of needs. Bzzt! Strike one for open source, there is no dedicated vendor! Which means either the organization themselves needs to take the initiative to bring open source to the table, or some other company who sees a side opportunity to make money has to bring it in.

Now they compare their feature “needs” with the products. Almost invariably, no product meets 100% of the needs, but that is OK, because vendors can provide a “roadmap” of future development, which hopefully covers their requirements.

Bzzt! Strike two for open source. Open source projects generally make no promises about particular features by particular dates. At best a wish list of future features (“subject to interest and time”) is provided. So open source projects which provide only partial coverage of requirements are rejected. Do not pass go, do not collect any dollars.

The problem is that the technology evaluation and standardization process in many large organizations has been shaped over the years to optimally match the properties of the existing proprietary software market:

For an organization to start to make optimal use of open source, habits developed over decades have to be stood on their head:

But that hardly seems like an improvement! Now the client is doing way more work! And that is a big hurdle in getting people to invert their thinking about product evaluation and adoption. In order to reap the privilege of receiving software without licensing costs, they must shoulder more responsibility for their own technological health. With great privileges come great responsibilities.