Comox Valley 2013 Absentee Ballots
17 May 2017For all the electrons spilled speculating on what trends might apply to the Courtenay-Comox absentee ballots being counted next week, I feel like I haven’t seen the actual numbers from 2013 in print anywhere, so here they are from the 2013 Statement of Votes:
| Section | GP | NDP | CP | LIB | Total | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s. 98 Special | 20 | 83 | 8 | 57 | 168 | 4.8% |
| s. 99 Absentee - in ED | 219 | 607 | 86 | 560 | 1472 | 42.0% |
| s. 100 Absentee - out of ED | 42 | 132 | 6 | 111 | 291 | 8.3% |
| s. 101 Absentee - advance | 8 | 41 | 3 | 41 | 92 | 2.7% |
| s. 104 Voting in DEO office | 119 | 519 | 74 | 601 | 1313 | 37.5% |
| s. 106 Voting by mail | 18 | 74 | 15 | 61 | 168 | 4.8% |
| Total | 426 | 1456 | 192 | 1431 | 3505 | 100% |
| % | 12.2% | 41.5% | 5.5% | 40.8% | 100% | - |
Some caveats:
- Redistribution made the 2017 riding somewhat weaker for the NDP than it was in 2013. (Advantage: Liberals)
- In 2017 the NDP candidate did somewhat better than in 2013. (Advantage: NDP)
- In 2013 the NDP candidate lost the riding but (barely) won the absentee tally. (Advantage: NDP)
With those caveats in mind, the final conclusion: anyone who tells you that there’s a predictable direction the absentee ballot will go based on past results is blowing smoke up your ***.